Is There Such a Thing as a Mainframe Monopoly?

Jeff Goldberg
Insurance Experts' Forum, October 15, 2009

As discussed in detail in The New York Times, the Justice Department is starting a preliminary antitrust inquiry of IBM. I can’t speak to whether certain actions taken by IBM or other companies were lawful or not, but I do think the investigation speaks more to current problems in the industry than it does to any particular wrongdoing.

Much of the action seems to be driven by the fact that IBM has a near-mainframe monopoly, and that businesses rely on mission-critical code that can only run on these mainframes. The issue here is not just IBM’s mainframe monopoly but, rather, the fact that companies are relying on code that was written 20 or 30 years ago.

I say the mainframe monopoly is not the main issue because calling it a monopoly ignores the realities of modern computing. Customers clearly have options beyond the mainframe; most (if not all) consider and purchase modern servers for production systems that either run alongside mainframes or have replaced mainframes. A mainframe monopoly is like a train monopoly … It might be a point of contention if one company owned all the trains, but this company would still be competing against all the very prevalent and modern options (trucks, boats, cars, planes) for shipping and travel.

One cited “proof point” of this monopoly is that modern server prices have fallen by over 40% since 2001, while mainframe prices have fallen less than 13%. But the server costs are only one element of the total cost of ownership. The mainframe has a reputation for reliability, scalability and throughput.

At an enterprise level, servers are typically positioned as a mainframe replacement in part because of the ability to cheaply buy enough to duplicate mainframe values in volume. The total cost of ownership, which includes hardware, software and services, for all those servers compared to a single mainframe is a point of much debate. Some state that the total cost of ownership for the mainframe is lower, while server proponents claim the opposite.

But if a single mainframe can potentially offer a lower total cost of ownership than many servers, it makes sense that the hardware price would remain higher. And regardless of whose numbers you believe, the modern server is positioned as a commodity compared to the mainframe; not because of the lack of monopoly status but simply because one of the values is its cheapness. If part of the server philosophy is the cheapness of the hardware, it makes sense that the price would decline more rapidly.

The real issue cited in the action is not the hardware monopoly, but the fact that many companies have mission-critical systems running on these mainframes; systems they have invested too much money in to move. Any company that cannot ever move off of its existing base of code because it has invested “too much” in it will one day face extinction, if it does not face it already. From where I sit, the software and services industry is fueled by the multi-billion dollar business of selling companies modern solutions and consulting to migrate off of legacy solutions. In fact, IBM, as a major force in professional services, is one of the companies helping consumers move off of legacy code to modern enterprise software.

Has IBM prevented other vendors from creating options that would allow companies to retain their legacy code but run it on cheaper, modern servers? I am not going to comment on the truth or legality of such actions. My concern is, and always has been, about how to plan for the future IT direction of a company. Even if such legacy code alternatives have been prevented, these would only have been temporary measures anyway. If a company takes 30-year old legacy code and moves it from a mainframe to a server, that company’s problem is not solved. It may mean some lower-cost maintenance for the next few years (though, as discussed earlier, the total cost of ownership is in question), but that company still needs to consider its true next step. Otherwise this is sweeping a long-term problem under the rug with a short-term fix.

This blog has been reprinted with permission from Celent. Jeff Goldberg is a senior analyst in Celent's insurance practice, and can be reached at

The opinions posted in this blog do not necessarily reflect those of Insurance Networking News or SourceMedia.

Comments (1)

I don't believe the issue is having legacy systems run business critical applictions. Legacy seems to connote an inferior system, when in actuality, the reason organizations run these applications is because they haven't been able to recreate the inherent business knowledge If legacy is a bad thing, then we should tear down all our legacy buildings and only live in building less than 5 years old. The issue is maintainability and enhancement of the legacy environments and having the appropriate documentation and application knowledge to adapt these systems to meet current business requirements.

Posted by: laszlo.boros | October 19, 2009 9:40 AM

Report this Comment

Add Your Comments...

Already Registered?

If you have already registered to Insurance Networking News, please use the form below to login. When completed you will immeditely be directed to post a comment.

Forgot your password?

Not Registered?

You must be registered to post a comment. Click here to register.

Blog Archive

In the Big Data Era, Storage is More than 'Just' Hardware

For on-premises needs, the latest technologies, including flash, solid state drives, and in-memory computing offer new ways to provide rapid access to new data.

Core Transformation – The Ultimate Balancing Act

The core transformation journey requires companies to shift from reactive to proactive business models, incorporating maturing and emerging technologies, customizing and personalizing products, and accelerating speed to market while providing improved customer service.

Wearables Poised to Reshape Insurer-Insured Relationship

Boosted by the impending release of the Apple Watch, wearable devices have received a fair amount of attention recently Ė and with good reason. This emergent technology has the potential to alter the way the health insurance industry operates on a fundamental level.

Despite Valiant Efforts, Insurers' Consumer Ratings Drop

Insurers also are confronting waves of disruptive changes, including big data analytics, an aging population, ongoing economic uncertainty and the growing frequency and severity of natural disasters, which threaten to challenge and undermine businesses.

Why You Can't Take a Wrecking Ball to Your Legacy System

If you think of enterprises like collections of neighborhoods that need to be nurtured, you quickly see that architecture, not obliteration, is the key.

The Apple Bounce: Are Wearables Truly this Big?

I just donít believe it; only 720,000 Androidwear watches were sold in 2014. Apple has been amazingly successful in so many markets. Were they always first? No, a lot of products before. Were they always best? Again, no, superior devices have fallen.